Reference wind farm selection for regional wind power prediction models
نویسندگان
چکیده
Short-term wind power forecasting is recognized today as a major requirement for a secure and economic integration of wind generation in power systems. This paper deals with the case of regional forecasting of wind power with a large number of wind farms involved. Due to the large amount of potentially available information and also because part of the wind farms may not be "observable", forecasting systems use input from selected “reference” wind farms to predict the total wind power. The paper studies the influence of the reference farms on the prediction accuracy and proposes a methodology for their selection, based on advanced statistical analysis of the spatial-temporal characteristics of wind generation.
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